Your Weekly Geek Sheet
November 18th, 2005

Onward and upward, pretty good week this week, although some will take some
real leaps of faith.  On second thought after two months of riding, E. Michigan
unders, and everyone's favorite underdog Southwest Delaware State Technical
school for the blind - Rhode Island campus...I suppose betting a big ACC or Big
East dog isn't really all that much of a stretch.

nevertheless, me feels pretty good about this one...A side note...when I built the geek sheet on Wednesday, the line was at 11', I just checked and it is back down to 10 (it opened at 10, then immediately bet up to 11' b/c of perceived Utah injuries, now bet back down to 10 by Utah money)...anyway, if you can you may want to get on it sooner than later, my guess is if it does anything else, it will continue to go down (all the bet against the injury money is already out)

#2 - Temple/Navy Under 54...I mean really, just think about it...54 points??? Temple
has barely scored 54 points all year.   The Owls get 6-7 here, call it 10 for good
measure, can the cadets rack up 6 plus TD's...me thinks not.

#2/3 - Eastern Michigan -6 @ Buffallo...See Temple...Say Buffalo's offence is twice as good as temple's and they get 2 TD's, we still get 4TD's out of E. Mich (which incidentally has a pretty decent offense) and win going away

#3 - Duke (aka the big ACC dog) +24' v. UNC -  no offense UNC may not score 24
in this game, plus they'll definitely be looking ahead to next weeks showdown with VT (which incidentally they have to win to be bowl eligible...remember that next week), Duke's HC packed in the season long ago, and has been starting hoards of freshman & sophomores building for the future...that would be bad news if you were betting on Duke 4 weeks ago, but good news now as they are actually starting to resemble a football team, unlike our friends Temple and Buffalo.   Duke will get 14-17 points here, maybe a little more if UNC isn't as sharp as they would normally be, which I expect...my guess is a 34-24 type final, but wouldn't be surprised at a 24-10 either, hell even the worse case combo of the two gives us a 34-10 squeaker...would work just fine for me.

#3Missouri +2 @ Kansas St - Missouri is better on offense, defense, special teams, at QB, RB, WR, DE, LB, PK, long snapper, holder, Head Coach, Off coordinator, def. coordinator, trainer, water boy, and even the concession stands...Missouri has been relatively successful moving the football against mediocre defenses (which K St qualifies as), and has had reasonable success against the good ones.  

K St on the other hand is horrific offensively, except against very poor defenses (see North Texas and Florida International).   The only thing that I can see might be in KSt. favor is this is Bill Snyder's last game, although that didn't help Barry Alvarez last week (shameless plug for the Iowa pick last week), and it won't happen here.   There is a good argument that could be made that it is actually a deterrent as it takes away from the focus on preparation. Throw in some good math and some good angles, and we'll see KSU probably come out smoking on the adrenalin of the Bill Snyder situation (see Wisc. up 10-0 last week), then watch inevitability take over (see Iowa 20 unanswered), but this week, we don't have to concern ourselves with a pesky number to cover...

#3/4 - Syracuse (aka big, Big East Dog) +35 @ N. Dame---Don't let the lofty ranking and mystique of ND fool you, they are a reasonable team, and had one good game against USC at home where the grass was grown 4' high so USC's gazelles could be harnessed by a bunch of coal miners from Pittsburgh.

Syracuse is not a very good football team, but has a decent defense, and should keep this thing relatively under control, I think if we get a FG, worse we do is push, and against ND's porous defense (lords knows Tennessee w. Ainge at the helm scored 3 TD's against them), even Syracuse may be able to muster a Teeter or two...nevertheless 35 is a lot to lay with a team whose defense hasn't held anyone under 20 since the 1st game of the year (which was 17 to Washington...in the Ty Willingham cum-bay-yah session)...say we get the 20 they give everyone, the bet is can / will ND try and hang 54 on hapless Syracuse....answer is No

#3/4 Air Force +13 @ New Mexico- I am tired of New Mex. killing me this year (I
think I've gone against them 3 times, to the tune of 0-3)...Anyway, AF should have
some success on the ground (which is about all they'll do).

I think they are officially the only D1 team still running some form of the wing T...ohh wait, for got about Urban Moron down at UF, anyway, if / when they decide to pass they should find success there as well, as NM is horrid v. the pass, almost as bad as AF (which I'm sure is what you want to here as I tell you NM has killed me this year, AF can't defend the pass, and NW will pass, some)...but stay with me, NM would prefer to pound it out on the ground, which will not be as easy against a decent AF run d...all things considered this will be the wild mountain west's version of SEC football, run clock run...20something to 20 something, and we have a couple TDers on our side...not all together that bad a proposition.

Another one I decided to pass on, but could (who am I kidding will) be bet on
after bloody marry #6 and Miler lite number 12 by lunch on Saturday.