Clemson @ VT (+4.5) – Free Play

This is an interesting game, VT is (statistically speaking) at a distinct disadvantage on offense and defense.   They do a have the advantage on special teams.   Clemson has flat killed people this year, but absent their blowout of GT last week haven't looked nearly as good against decent competition (BC, FSU and Wake), and I think last week's blowout of GT combined with VTs loss to GT and BC have skewed this line some.   Problem is that it isn't enough to make this a play.  My models are dead on with their projection of 20 points for VT, and my analysis calls for a range of 16.5-22.1 points.  Even against Clemson's good competition, Clemson has scored at least 27 points in every contest, and could do it here.   My models are a little less aligned on Clemson, but fall in the 21-24 range.   My analysis comes up with a pretty large projected range (which is due to the disparity in absolute difference b/w their averages) which makes it tough to rely heavily on, still it projects from 337-405 total yards or 27.6-38.4 points, which is very scary considering we are pretty consistent with VT at 20ish.